Is Twitter journalism?

November 28, 2008

Lots of discussion following the Mumbai attacks about Twitter as journalism. Way I see it;

1. People witness an event - ‘journalist or not’;

2. They tweet about it;

3. Others read the tweets to get the latest….minus the opinion or conjecture, and;

4. You read other sources and draw conclusions

So, yes, it is journalism in its purest, citizen-generated form….just depends on how you like your news.


Moving on and up!

November 17, 2008

ZuberanceFollowing a couple of months as an Adviser I’m really excited to announce that I have accepted the role of VP Business Operations at Zuberance. Zuberance was founded by Rob Fuggetta who has a long and illustrious career in marketing - he was a partner at Regis McKenna where he oversaw their work with Apple, and then CMO at three start-ups, including Genuity.

Zuberance has developed a unique ’software as a service’ (SaaS) customer salesforce solution - enabling enterprises to turn their best customers into brand advocates.  Zuberance already has some very strong traction with Fortune 500 customers, all of whom have quickly experienced the excellent ROI the Zuberance solution delivers.

Watch this space as I’ll chronicle Zuberance’s growth and share some of the challenges we are sure to encounter along the way, especially as are embarking on this journey during one of the most challenging economic periods of our lives!


Hubdub predictions spot-on for election!

November 6, 2008

Now all the US states bar North Carolina have been called, the electoral votes vote tally is 349 to Obama and 173 to McCain. Obama is currently expected to take North Carolina which would take his final tally to 364 electoral college votes.

Using this electoral vote tally we can do a quick analysis of how accurate the various pollsters and prediction markets have been. The 3 Blue Dudes site has been tracking 84 different pollsters, pundits and prediction markets for the past few months. On the day before election day they took a snapshot of the current forecasts. 3 Blue Dudes recorded Hubdub as projecting exactly 364 electoral college votes for Obama!

How did the pollsters and pundits compare? Not so good. Only 6 of the 81 other pollsters and pundits predicted Obama winning 364 electoral votes.

Some of the major media sites, pollsters and pundits that didn’t do so well were:

New York Times: 291 to Obama (84 undecided)

CNN: 291 to Obama (90 undecided)

Washington Post: 319 to Obama

Zogby: 311 to Obama (51 undecided)

Karl Rove: 338 to Obama

All in all, a great night for Obama and a great night for Hubdub’s forecasts.

(Note: this is a reposting from Hubdub’s blog)


Death by a thousand cuts

October 31, 2008

I’ve been a interested observer of the fate of the newspaper industry for a few years now and I believe the financial crisis and the economic downturn it presaged will be the final death knell.

Ponder some stats dug up by Henry Blodget over at Silicon Alley Insider:

  • As though following the advice of Netscape founder Marc Andressen, The Christian Science Monitor announces it will cease print publication next April, choosing to focus on its Web site.
  • Time Inc. announces a major restructuring, including 600 layoffs.
  • Gannett plans to cut 10% of its newspaper workforce, but none at USA Today.
  • Doubleday Publishing lays off 16, or 10% of its staff.
  • Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia cuts its 2008 revenue forecast, and reports a 25% decline in its publishing division’s revenue.
  • McGraw-Hill trims 270 jobs company-wide.
  • The Los Angeles Times arranges to cut 10% of its editorial staff, or 75 jobs.
  • Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s downgrade The Washington Post Co.’s outlook from “stable” to “negative.”
  • The Star-Ledger of Newark, NJ, says it will cut its newsroom staff by 40% by the end of the year.
  • In one bright spot, New York Times executive editor Bill Keller says he sees no further staff reductions.

The coming downturn in the ad industry, especially among those advertisers looking to reach the mainstream audience with auto, credit card, retail and travel ads among others (all the places consumers will be cutting back spending on heavily) and you can see that we are just at the tip of the iceberg…it’ll be like watching death by a thousand cuts!


Weathering the meltdown - advise from the experts

October 29, 2008

I’ve just attended the VentureBeat mini-conference/roundtable at which there were two panels; the first comprising highly experienced venture investors/angels; John Doerr, Ram Shriram, Ron Conway, Matt Cohler, Kittu Kolluri; and the second experienced entrepreneurs; Max Levchin, Nirav Tolia, Jason Calacanis, Toni Schneider). The aim was to provide sage advise and collective wisdom on how to lead a start-up in these troubled times.

Here’s a quick summary of some of the advise;

  • Don’t panic (or maybe just panic the right amount).
  • This is a crisis of confidence with uncertainty on the demand side from both businesses and consumers - so focus on ‘growth to revenue’ rather than ‘growth at all costs’.
  • Cut growth, cut spending but don’t cut hope.
  • Every problem is an opportunity (I guess the problem here is the changing market conditions)
  • Money is worth more than equity right now, so use equity

And the top 12 things founders/CEO’s should do according to John Doerr:

  1. Act now - raise funds, layoff’s, cut costs
  2. Protect the vital core of your business (use a scalpel not an axe)
  3. Work to have 18 months of cash against conservative revenue projections
  4. Cut all Capex
  5. Re-prioritize and rationalize any R&D
  6. Negotiate everything (even rent)
  7. Make sure every single employee is selling
  8. Offer equity instead of cash bonuses - look at voluntary and unilateral salary reductions
  9. Pay attention to where you have your cash (i.e. treasuries may be best)
  10. Understand the leading indicators to revenue and project accordingly
  11. Over communicate
  12. Be open minded to M&A opportunities and move fast

Price war…or they simply don’t care?

October 17, 2008

Saw this yesterday:

Two gas stations, one either side of a stop light junction on the same side of the road…one at $4.29/gallon, the other at $3.59/gallon…a 70c difference…guess which one wants your business and cares about profits?!


The World According to Americans

October 13, 2008

Hat tip to Zoli Erdos for this one:


Carpe Diem!

October 10, 2008

Everything I read online, everything I watch on TV, every radio program I listen to, every person I talk to, talks about the economic crisis. None of us are immune or exempt from it. As for you guys in the trenches, living and breathing the day to day challenges of building a startup, there is tons of guidance by venture folks to their portfolios ……conserve cash, focus on the numbers, extend your runway, get lean. All of this might be scaring the shit out of you. You’re not alone. But let me offer a perspective, one that may provide something we can all use: hope.

Great, durable, profitable and game-changing companies get built during tough times!

-When the bubble burst in 1999 Brin and Page at Google were busy building something few people thought the world needed; ‘yet another search engine‘. Search is the core competency of the web’s biggest hits and the engine fueling a lot of its growth to this day.

-When Skype was founded, the bubble had burst and they were building something all ‘players’ already had: a soft phone. ‘Why do we need another one of those, when the quality sucks, and the big players have all the users already?

-Although Paypal started in 1999, most of their funding and explosive growth took place post bubble. ‘Are the masses really going to change their behavior and adopt this online payment thing?

-Whn, in late ‘03 Mark Zuckerberg pitched VC’s on Facebook, he was already hard at work building ‘yet another social network. ‘Why would we need one of those when we already have Friendster and Myspace?

-It was barely the spring following the nuclear winter in the valley when YouTube got started. People had been talking about video forever, ‘when is it really going to take off?

Why? Because they kept their heads down and focused on changing the game. You all have eternal optimism in spades and you are working to build a successful company in one of the most difficult economic climates you will likely ever encounter. So, when you win..and you will win….when you look back and realize you ‘made a difference’…..you’ll look back and say ‘Hell, if I can be successful during that, then I can do ANYTHING!’.

Carpe Diem!


Sage advise on weathering the downturn

October 9, 2008

Sage advice from Fred Wilson over at Union Sq Ventures:

My partner Albert calculated early last year that it takes about 1/10th the hardware, software, bandwidth, storage, and other expenses to build a web service compared to what it took in the 99/2000 time period. That was just as services like Amazon Web Services, Google AppEngine, 10Gen, and other “could computing” platforms emerged as real options. It’s gotten even less expensive now. As Albert pointed out in his cloud computing talk at Web2NYC, the first 5mm page views on Google AppEngine are free. It doesn’t get less expensive than free.A VC, Oct 2008

Employees of Google listen to a town hall meeting lead by Senator John McCain (R-AZ) and Google CEO Eric Schmidt (R) at Google May 4, 2007 in Mountain View, California. McCain took part in the town hall meeting on the Google campus after taking a tour of the internet giant's facilities.  (Photo by David Paul Morris/Getty Images)

I plan to write another post as a follow-up to my earlier post to expand on some of the themes.


Start-up Advise: Weathering an economic downturn

September 26, 2008

Doom and gloom prevails in the media - corporate bailouts, bankruptcies, foreclosures, credit squeezes and rising unemployment dominate the headlines. So what is the prudent start-up CEO to do - stick to the plan you developed last year, raise more cash before the situation worsens, plan to reduce the burn rate and conserve cash, refocus your energies on revenue whilst cutting costs…well, all of the above is probably the best answer, but here’s ten ‘top tips’ for turning the downturn to your advantage.

Cash is king - take a look at every single outgoing…salaries, benefits, office space, capital equipment purchases, etc. etc. and identify any you can cut or reduce. Extra office space? - sublease it or find another start-up willing to share with you. Indulgent benefits? - gym membership is nice but do folks really use it? Need to buy new office equipment, servers, monitors, etc? - look at buying used equipment or ‘no name’ brands. Hiring? - Revealuate the salalries you have budgetd for new hires as the market is less competitive so you may be able to pay less. Travel? - look at whether you really need to make that cross country trip now instead of postponing it until you have lots of meetings you can roll into one trip, or even better, do more pre-qualification via phone before you jump on a plane (and when you get there stay at the Holiday Inn instead of the Four Seasons)!

Plan and model your cash flow - make a detailed cash flow model so you can test various scenarios, plan cash conservation strategies and model decisions. If you dont knwo how to do this, hire a consultant to help you (or call me!) - a few $ spent now will save you a ton later.

Renegotiate contract terms and push out Accts Payable - take a hard look at all your outstanding contract obligations and identify those that may bear some renegotiation. You may be able to reduce your rent obligations, change payment terms for licensed software, etc. Additionally, start stretching out accounts payable on utilties, insurance, etc. Almost all your accounts have long grace periods - use them!

Examine your deal structure and strive for upfront payments - SaaS companies especially can look to offer large discounts on upfront vs. monthly payment terms. Move more of the revenue of a deal into the NRE and away from recurring payments.

Get aggressive in securing deals - now is a great time to actually ramp up your sales activity by securing some aggressive deals that will keep your top line and market share growing. Slowing down is exactly what you will feel like you should do (any many of your competitors will be doing) - do the opposite and seize the day!

Become a guerilla marketeer - your instinct will be to slash the marketing budget, but first look at how you will market your product on a lower budget - look at using social networks, blogs, networking events, SEO and other channels to get your message out. Get everyone involved in brainstorning guerilla marketing tactics. Once you’ve done that make sure you have the right folks in marketing to implement this new approach and then cut the budget.

Critically evaluate your team - now is the time to make sure you have a the right people in the right roles. If someone isn’t performing then let them go ASAP and only replace them if you absolutely have to.

Help your employees to become better friends - don’t expand your office space or rent new space until you absolutely have to - double up in large cubes, become more ‘open plan’, utilize unused walkways - suqeeze folks in - they may even start to communicate better!

Get a line of credit or some venture debt now and draw it down before you need it - by the time you need it you won’t be able to get it, so get it while you can.

Raise venture capital well before you need it - if you’ve recently closed a round and have 9 or months runway then look at raising another round but don’t get greedy on valuation. You probably look a lot better and healthy now than you will in 3-4 months, so capitalize on it.

As a last resort, look at pay cuts - start by cutting your own pay and then cut all bonuses, get rid of consultants, and then, as a last resort, do a unilateral pay cut (issuing options if you have them as compensation). Done right and those who really ‘believe’ will stick with you (and they are the people you really want).  Pay cuts are tough, so make sure you have tried everything else first.

Every successful entrepreneur has had to wwether tough times and with prudent planning you can too - good luck!